Tremendous

An angel investor's take on life and business

What if we had one trillion scientists working 24/7? Sakana AI’s new AI Scientist just might make that happen.

The Tokyo research lab released a new AI system that can automate the research process. The AI Scientist can do a literature review, plan and conduct experiments, and write up the results.

Even better, an AI Reviewer reviews the paper and helps decide if it should be published! All the code to spin up your own AI Scientist is available free today on Github.

The AI Scientist

For starters, you give the AI Scientist a broad direction for research. Then, the system looks for important papers in the field.

It can run experiments, plot the data, and even write it up in LaTeX format.

The system isn’t perfect yet. The AI Scientist hallucinates from time to time and doesn’t always cite all its sources.

Still, for a first effort, it’s incredibly impressive!

Driving Costs to Zero

Right now, it costs $15 in compute for the AI Scientist to produce a paper. But the cost of AI compute is falling rapidly.

Compute cost fell 90% in just 2 years from 2020-22. This decline is continuing rapidly and may greatly outpace Moore’s Law.

Eventually, the cost will be down to pennies per paper. This will allow us to produce papers on a scale we’ve never seen before.

Today, we may have a few million researchers doing a couple papers a year. In the future, we could be producing billions or trillions of papers, then using AI Reviewers to find the best ones.

Tackling the Hardest Problems

It’s 2050 and we have the equivalent of one trillion scientists working around the clock. The AI Scientist is hooked into androids from Figure and Tesla, performing experiments in the real world.

What problem could possibly withstand that kind of scrutiny?

Major problems like cancer, heart disease, and energy generation would fall, one by one. AI systems could produce new drugs and new sources of energy so rapidly we can barely keep up.

And let me tell you where a lot of that new energy will go: right back into compute to run more AI Scientists.

Wrap-Up

Today, the AI Scientist is an interesting first effort. But decades from now, we could be sitting here with most of the major problems of humanity solved.

We could live to 1,000 and use infinite free energy all our lives. Any question we have, we could answer. Any problem we face, we could surmount.

What an incredible time to be alive.

What do you think of the AI Scientist?

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