Tag: Bonds
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As March began, hedge funds placed one of their biggest bets of all time. It may be their undoing. Get the blog before anyone else…subscribe! Traders placed the largest bet in history on increasing short term interest rates. But as a banking crisis spreads, rates may fall, exposing them to…
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+ Business+ Banking, Banks, Bond Market, Bonds, Fed, Federal Reserve, Finance, Hedge funds, Interest rates, Investing, Money, Stock Market, Stocks+
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In 2022, the Fed tightened its vice grip until we squealed. But as interest rates peak this year, markets are in a position for serious growth. Get the blog before anyone else…subscribe! It stands to reason: if someone is hitting you with a stick, the pain diminishes when they stop…
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+ Business+ Bonds, Federal Reserve, Finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing, Money, Stock Market, Stocks, Stonks+
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The Problem Bonds are a big part of many investors’ portfolios. But yields today are close to nonexistent. Since 2009, rates have been at or below the rate of inflation. Two bond funds I own pay 1.88% and 1.45% respectively. Inflation is currently running at about 4.8%. This means I’m…
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Markets are booming today, but just 18 months ago, things looked like this: Ouch. I lost about 22% of my portfolio in less than five weeks. It certainly made life interesting. Today, markets sit near all time highs and jobs go begging. It’s a far cry from the darkest days…
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I used to love bonds. Especially government bonds. Guaranteed income, easy liquidity, and stability in a crisis. What’s not to like? But my old flame hasn’t done much for me lately. And I’m not the only one. The Problem Bonds have hovered at or below the rate of inflation since…
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Nestled in the Austrian Alps is the tiny village of Worgl. In 1932, as the world economy was in the depths of the Great Depression, Worgl too had fallen on hard times: What followed was one of the most radical economic experiments in history. The town created a new form…
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Government bond yields are increasing in many countries, including the US. Australia is already taking action. Europe and Japan also appear to be close: This morning, Australian three-year government bond yields reached as high as 0.15% at the market open, far above the 0.1% ceiling established by the Reserve Bank…
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Treasury bonds have been falling hard lately. Their interest rates are up significantly as a result: The yield on the 10-year note, a bellwether for borrowing costs on everything from mortgages to corporate loans, has jumped to near 1.5% from around 1% in a matter of weeks, lifted by increased…
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+ Business+ Bonds, Economics, Economy, Federal Reserve, Finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Markets, News, Treasuries+
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Regardless of which market we look at, we see a similar trend: skyrocketing prices since the beginning of the pandemic. You can see this in the S&P 500, a broad measure of stocks: In commodities: In the increase in real estate prices and the corresponding decrease in capitalization rates (this…
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My main business is investment, and some recent developments have gotten me thinking about where markets are headed this year. An end to the pandemic by Q2 2021 is predicted by multiple models (here and here). We’ve seen a substantial increase in personal income in 2020, largely due to the…
Tremendous 