Tremendous

An angel investor's take on life and business

We all love to whine about YC valuations. But lately, YC has quietly become one of the best deals for investors…

Getting More for Your Money

When I was meeting YC companies 2-3 years ago, this is what the best ones looked like:

  • $100k ARR
  • $20-25M valuation (200x to 250x ARR)

Here’s what I’m seeing now in the top startups:

  • $1-3M ARR
  • $30-40M valuation (10-40x ARR)

The price is up a little. But traction has exploded, and revenue mutliple has dropped around 90%.

Why I’m Looking More Closely at YC

You’re paying a little more, but getting a lot more in return. This makes investing in YC a better value than it’s ever been.

I’ve made a bet in each of the last two batches. Given the stronger value proposition, I’m going to be looking at future batches more closely.

When I Can’t Make the Numbers Work

There are still two types of deals I avoid, whether from YC or anywhere else:

  • < $200k ARR, $25-40M valuation (too early)
  • White hot startups raising at $200-500M valuations (not enough upside)

Angel investing is a business of outliers. So naturally, there are exceptions: a startup building in an area I’m obsessed with, or a founder with an incredible track record.

Why Are These Startup Growing So Fast?

How the heck have startups gone from $100K ARR to millions in the same short program? 

You guessed it: AI.

The best startups are using agents to recruit a team, build a product, and find customers at warp speed. 

Wrap-Up

“Long ago, Ben Graham taught me that ‘Price is what you pay; value is what you get.’ Whether we’re talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down.” – Warren Buffett

I love a good bargain. And I’m starting to find them where I’d least expect: the world’s top accelerator.

If you’re investing and you’ve stepped away from YC due to valuations, I encourage you to take another look. 

And if you’re in YC and you’re building something amazing, shoot me a message! I’d love to hear about it. 

DMs open. 

More on tech: 

I Left $157,000 on the Table: How I Missed a Great Investment

38 Words Got This Founder on My Calendar — Here’s the Cold Email Formula That Wins

Meet My Latest Investment: Perfectly

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