Tremendous

An angel investor's take on life and business

  • Founders ask me all the time how to improve their pitch. Here’s what I tell them…focus on the Big 3: Vision, Team and Traction.

    Every day, I see lengthy decks and memos that get mired it detail. Exhaustive market analyses, 10 year projections, and long lists of “advisors.”

    Ditch all that. Instead, structure your pitch around 3 key points.

    1) Vision. You must be able to express the vision for your company in 1 sentence. It must be clear and compelling.

    Here’s an example:

    “Uber makes it easy to get a ride from anywhere to anywhere, any time.”

    That’s simple and clear. I know exactly what Uber does.

    It’s also a compelling vision. Just think how many rides people take…this could be a huge company!

    If I don’t know exactly what you do from that 1 sentence, try again.

    No jargon. Don’t democratize, supercharge, or provide anything “in a box.”

    I have a whole post on how to nail your vision here.

    2) Team. Tell us why your team is the perfect one to take on this problem.

    I cannot tell you how often founders bury the team slide in the deck. Sometimes they don’t include it at all!

    Sell the team, and sell it hard.

    At this stage, you probably don’t have much traction. So team is the main thing you have to offer.

    Let’s say you’re building an AI tool to help lawyers draft contracts. Your team is you and a co-founder. You could pitch your team like this:

    “I’m Jim, Founder & CEO of Legally. I was a contract lawyer for 8 years before starting this company. Every day, I spent hours drafting similar documents. I was sure there must be a better way.

    Mike is my co-founder and CTO. He built AI tools for Superhuman which have been used by hundreds of thousands of customers.”

    That’s a heckuva team! We’ve got a guy who knows the problem intimately, and a strong builder.

    These fellas could actually pull this off!

    3) Traction. You have a clear and compelling vision. You have a team that is uniquely qualified to make it a reality.

    But where is the evidence that things are beginning to work? That’s where traction comes in.

    Growing revenue is the best form of traction.

    If you can show that, definitely do so. Put it on a big chart that we cannot miss.

    If you’re growing 10% a month or more at the early stage, investors will start to get excited. If you don’t have much growth yet, at least tell us how much revenue you have.

    If you don’t have revenue, you can show traction in other ways.

    Maybe you have a bunch of unpaid users. Or perhaps you’ve built a huge waitlist that you plan to convert to customers.

    Use whatever you’ve got! And work on getting that revenue as soon as possible.

    Cash is king.

    Wrap-Up

    There are other useful things to include in a pitch, like a bottoms-up TAM. But if you can nail the Big 3, you’ll have a great start.

    Never forget, investors see 20 of these a day. You have to stand out.

    Keep it brief. Keep it clear. Make it compelling.

    You can practice below…what’s your vision for your company?

    More on tech:

    Small Investors Lead to Big Investors

    Meet My Latest Investment: PodcastAI

    Why I Passed: “DoorTrack”

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order. 

  • Three quarters of Americans are overweight or obese. Only 5% will ever lose weight with diet and exercise. Are drugs the only real solution to the obesity epidemic?

    David Friedberg recently dug into that and more in an interview with Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks.

    GLP-1’s for Weight Loss

    Lilly was one of the first companies to make a GLP-1 drug available for weight loss. These drugs, which were originally developed for diabetes, are also highly effective in treating obesity.

    GLP-1’s, such as Ozempic and Mounjaro, basically make your body think it’s full when it’s not. This means you eat less and lose weight.

    People on GLP-1’s tend have less interest in overeating or fattening foods. A study by Wal-Mart found that shoppers on GLP-1’s bought food with 1/3 fewer calories, in particular reducing their consumption of salty snacks.

    In my 20’s, I lost 70 pounds purely through diet and exercise. You can definitely lose weight without drugs.

    But the reality is, most people just aren’t going to do that. For most, pharmaceuticals may be the only realistic option.

    The Everything Drug?

    GLP-1’s can help people lose weight. But there’s early evidence that they’re useful for other compulsions as well.

    Animal studies suggest that the drugs could help people addicted to alcohol or opioids. The medicines seem to cause animals to lose interest in alcohol or opioids, much like humans became less interested in potato chips.

    There’s even evidence in humans that patients on GLP-1’s are less likely to become depressed.

    Given how many common conditions GLP-1’s can address, I expect to see half of Americans taking one within the next 10-20 years. Already, some insurers are changing their actuarial tables, expecting people to live longer as a result of these medications.

    The Drugs of the Future

    As incredible as GLP-1’s are, they come with some barriers. For now, they must be injected. And if you stop taking them, you will probably gain the weight back.

    Lilly is working to fix these issues. They’re developing a pill version of a GLP-1. They’re also working on weight loss drugs that you’d only need to take for a limited time.

    Ricks and his team are also working on another incredible project: a medication to lower Lp(a). Lp(a) is a biomarker that is closely associated with cardiovascular disease.

    If a drug can lower your levels of Lp(a), your risk of death from cardiovascular disease could plummet.

    This condition is the biggest killer in America. Preventing it could significantly increase life expectancy.

    Wrap-Up

    Eli Lilly was founded in 1876. It started out as a tiny little workshop. You wouldn’t know if they were making medicines or bicycles.

    Today, it’s the largest pharmaceutical company on earth by market cap, worth over $800 billion. More importantly, Lilly is producing drugs that save countless lives.

    Seeing that tiny little workshop, I’m put in mind of this quote from Jeff Bezos:

    “Big things start small.”

    What do you think of GLP-1’s?

    More on tech:

    Ohalo: Taking Food Costs to 0

    Meet My Latest Investment: PodcastAI

    Flying Cars Are on the Way: Joby, Archer and Wisk at the All-In Summit

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order. 

  • “This is so cool!” Whenever I find myself saying that, I usually want to place a bet.

    PodcastAI makes podcast production automatic. Just drop in an episode and you get show notes, chapters, viral clips to post to Twitter and Youtube, and a lot more.

    This spring, founder Edward Brawer was telling me about their new AI Chat feature. It lets you ask an AI version of the host a question and get a response based on info from previous episodes.

    Chatting with your favorite podcasters…who wouldn’t want to do that?

    Edward isn’t stopping there. He’s made fully synthetic content using AI, like this hilarious AI All-In episode:

    PodcastAI is the best podcasting tool on the market, by far. But it’s way more than that.

    What Edward has created is a new form of entertainment.

    I very rarely see product velocity like PodcastAI’s. No wonder the company is growing so fast.

    PodcastAI shows what a small team of extremely focused builders can do. I’m delighted to be a small investor in their recent seed round.

    Check out PodcastAI and take your podcast to the next level!

    Have a great weekend everyone!

    More on tech: 

    Meet My Latest Investment: Melengo

    Meet My Latest Investment: North

    Small Investors Lead to Big Investors

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order. 

  • Adyen processes payments for a billion shoppers worldwide. Its market cap is over $46 billion.

    In a great talk at the All-In Summit, Co-CEO Ingo Uytdehaage tells the besties what it’s like to expand internationally and how AI is revolutionizing payments.

    Boosting Profits with AI

    “Where’s the real world business impact of AI?” I can’t count how many times I’ve heard this. Hopefully Ingo’s interview puts this question to rest.

    Ingo explains that Adyen has saved customers 20% on debit transactions by routing their payments to cheaper rails. Since Adyen processes over $1 trillion a year in payments, this is a massive savings.

    Ingo is also saving Adyen money by integrating AI into its support function. This is a common use for generative AI, and every company can benefit from it.

    No wonder Adyen is incredibly profitable, pulling in over $700 million a year in net income. Yum yum!

    Expanding Abroad

    It’s not lost on Ingo that his company is one of the very few success stories for tech in Europe. That comes with advantages, but also big challenges.

    The Netherlands, where Adyen is based, is small. So they had to go international from day one.

    But serving foreign markets from Amsterdam just doesn’t work. So Ingo has hired teams in the US and around the world, close to customers.

    This is very smart.

    I might want to sell in Japan, for example. But I don’t really know what Japanese companies want to buy or how their sales culture works. And while I speak some Japanese, a native speaker will be a much more effective salesman than I.

    Recruiting the Best

    The one bright side of being a big fish in a small pond for Adyen is that in Europe, recruiting is easy. There aren’t many other options!

    But in America, they’re competing with Google, Facebook, you name it. And here, Adyen is not that well known.

    That has made recruiting a challenge. But the size of the market makes the struggle well worth it.

    The US is Adyen’s fastest growing market and represents a third of revenues. And from what I know about business cultures, I’m guessing the American customers are a lot more direct and decisive.

    What’s Going on in Amsterdam?

    I find it interesting that one of Europe’s most successful tech companies is based not in one of the biggest cities, like London, Paris or Rome, but in Amsterdam. ASML and Prosus, two of the largest tech companies in Europe, are also based in the Netherlands.

    In all, 3 out of the top 5 largest European tech companies by market cap are based in tiny Holland. Something’s going on over there…

    Indeed, I’m finalizing an investment in a Dutch startup now. I’m going to keep scouring this area looking for prospects.

    I’ll tell you what I find.

    Wrap-Up

    Adyen shows us that Europe can produce first rate tech companies. And if you had any doubt that AI was going to make a huge impact, just look at Adyen’s juicy bottom line.

    What did you think of Ingo’s talk?

    This concludes our series on talks from the All-In Summit.

    What a fantastic bunch of speakers! I hope to attend in person in the future and see them live!

    More from the All-In Summit:

    Elon at the All-In Summit

    Ukraine, China and the Deep State: Mearsheimer and Sachs at the All-In Summit

    Flying Cars Are on the Way: Joby, Archer and Wisk at the All-In Summit

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order. 

  • I am so sick of hearing helicopters going over my house! I live in North Jersey just outside NYC, and let me tell you, it’s nonstop. But there’s a solution, and it could be here as soon as next year.

    Electronic Vertical Takeoff and Landing craft (eVTOLs) from Joby Aviation could be in NYC as soon as 2025. In a fascinating talk at the All-In Summit, the founders of Joby and fellow eVTOL startups Archer and Wisk explain how flying cars are closer than we think.

    Downtown to JFK in 7 Minutes

    As I write this on a Wednesday afternoon, Google is telling me that it will take about 45 minutes to get from downtown Manhattan to Kennedy airport. That’s actually really good — it’s often twice that or more!

    Joby plans to get that down to just 7 minutes.

    The cost could be lower than a helicopter since eVTOLs have a much simpler design. And already, helicopter trips on Blade often cost about the same as an Uber to/from JFK.

    But to me, the best part is how quiet they are. Check out this video of a Joby compared with other aircraft!

    These aircraft run at just 45 db, about as loud as a refrigerator. To me, it just sounds like wind.

    This will be a massive improvement in quality of life for everyone in major metro areas.

    Not Just Quieter — Safer

    “Driving is more than 10,000 times more dangerous per passenger mile than flying is.”

    JoeBen Bevirt, Founder & CEO, Joby Aviation

    If you take an eVTOL to JFK, you don’t just save lots of time and wear and tear on Francis’ eardrums. You just might save your own life.

    Driving is incredibly dangerous. Any car trips we can replace with flying is a huge win.

    Airlines have an incredible safety record. Helicopters, while not as safe as airlines, are still dramatically better than a car.

    eVTOLs should be much safer than a helicopter. The design is simpler, and they have many rotors — 6, in the case of the Joby aircraft. If one or more stop working, you should still be able to land safely.

    Joby and Archer will use pilots. But Wisk is going even further, developing fully automated eVTOLs.

    If they can nail the automation, these might be even safer than human pilots.

    Wrap-Up

    eVTOLs, rotors softly beating in the wind over NYC. It’s an incredible vision.

    But Bevirt of Joby plans to go much further.

    He plans to make Joby aircraft so quiet they can land in your yard. A flying car, at your service!

    This is an incredible future. I’d be tempted to take one, even if I wasn’t going anywhere.

    I think a lot of us can relate to Bevirt when he says:

    “I’ve been dreaming about it since I was a kid.”

    Would you ride in an eVTOL?

    More on tech:

    Two Million Miles Without a Fatality: Waymo’s CEO at the All-In Summit

    Elon at the All-In Summit

    Talking Investment Red Flags on the Mr. Bray Labs Podcast

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order. 

  • Investors are obsessed with pedigree. Today, I made a list of where every founder I’ve invested in went to college. So, do the top schools produce better founders? Let’s find out…

    To be consistent, I looked at where the Founder & CEO of each of my investments got their bachelor’s degree. Here’s what I found:

    The List

    None: 3
    USC: 2
    UNC: 2
    Cal Poly – 1
    U of Pittsburgh: 1
    UCSD: 1
    Georgia Tech: 1
    Le Havre Normandy University: 1
    American River College: 1
    DePaul: 1
    Florida State: 1
    Baruch College: 1
    University of Minnesota: 1
    NYU: 1
    Ivan Franko National University of Lviv: 1
    Arizona State: 1
    Carleton: 1
    Universidad Tecnológica Nacional (Argentina): 1
    UC Berkeley: 1
    Syracuse: 1
    U of Oregon: 1
    BYU: 1
    Northwestern: 1
    Johns Hopkins: 1
    Centenary University: 1
    U of Waterloo: 1
    Auburn: 1

    Some Surprising Results

    These results surprised me!

    I didn’t think I’d see “None” leading the list. And who knew USC was such a hotbed of startups?

    I’m also surprised to see that there’s not a single Ivy League, Stanford or MIT kid on the list (although several got graduate degrees from those schools). I guess they’re not the only game in town!

    Better Schools, Better Founders?

    So, do better schools produce better founders?

    At least in my portfolio, the answer is no. Some of my most successful founders went to great schools like NYU, but I also have some founders who are struggling that went to top schools.

    Overall, I don’t see any correlation between prestige of their college and success. In fact, one of the more successful fellows in my portfolio didn’t go to college at all!

    Wrap-Up

    As startups have gone mainstream, credentialism has become the rule. Sure you have a great product…but do you have Stanford, YC, or Google stamped on your butt?

    If not, keep it moving.

    I never invest this way. I look at performance, pure and simple. And in my sample of 31 companies, top schools aren’t producing better founders.

    Do you look at where a founder went to college?

    More on tech:

    How Often Do Founders Actually Send Updates?

    Small Investors Lead to Big Investors

    How I Make Sure I’m Never Late to Meet a Founder

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order. 

  • “We’ll see if this works.”

    Elon Musk

    Last night, Elon took the stage and unveiled two of the most amazing new products I’ve ever seen: the Cybercab and the Robovan. Our cities are about to look very different.

    ‘What the Heck Is That?’

    “You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark, dismal. It’s not a future you want to be in. We want to have a fun exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you’d be like, ‘Yes, I wish I could be there now.’” – Elon Musk

    At first, I thought it was a Cybertruck. But as Elon pulled up, you could see it was something very different: the new Cybercab. This is the first vehicle I’ve ever seen with no steering wheel.

    The Cybercab will provide fully autonomous taxi rides. Elon plans to have it available as soon as 2026.

    With no human driver, the rides will be dirt cheap. Elon projects a price of around 30-40 cents a mile.

    With the short, urban rides I take, I could go from paying $10 to $1. Unbelievable. Meanwhile, longer trips would become affordable.

    If you want to buy your own Cybercab, they won’t cost much:

    “We expect the cost to be below $30,000.”

    That’s incredible. A fully autonomous vehicle for the price of a Toyota Camry.

    This thing will take over the market.

    A Bus Unlike Any You’ve Ever Seen

    But what stole the show was another new vehicle: the Robovan.

    “Can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That’d be sick!”

    The Robovan can seat 20 people. It can be used for people or cargo. It has no driver or even visible wheels.

    I’ve never seen anything like it in my entire life.

    Nobody really wants to ride the bus. But who won’t want to ride in this?

    I can’t tell you how much this hits home for me. I’ve taken the bus since I was a little boy, all the way through to today.

    Growing up in Northern Wisconsin, we often waited an hour or more in deep snow, wondering where the bus was. Once we got on, it was slow, smelly, and stopped running at 6 o’clock.

    If I get to ride in a Robovan before I die, I’ll lose it! And it could be available in just a few years.

    Transportation in the Robovan will be even cheaper than the Cybercab — 5 to 10 cents a mile, by Elon’s estimate.

    Rock, Paper, Scissors

    If that wasn’t enough for you, Elon also showed off the latest Optimus robot.

    He makes an interesting point: the motors, AI systems and batteries in the cars are the same ones he uses in the Optimus. The cars are already out there in the millions, and soon Optimus will be too.

    The Optimus is not demo-ware. Elon let them loose in the crowd.

    They played rock, paper scissors with guests and even served drinks! And when they danced, they did the robot.

    “I think this will be the biggest product ever, of any kind.”

    With Optimus in the home doing housework and keeping us company, and more of them in factories and on farms, I don’t doubt Elon is right.

    AI will give us infinite human intelligence. Optimus will give us infinite human labor.

    The future will be unlike anything we’ve ever seen. It will be awesome.

    “The cost of products and services will decline dramatically and basically anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which almost no one has envisioned.”

    Wrap-Up

    This is the wildest demo I’ve ever seen, from any company. I cannot wait to step into a Robovan and shake an Optimus’ hand.

    What do you think of the Tesla demo?

    What a way to head into the weekend!

    There will be no blog on Monday for Columbus Day. Have a great weekend, guys!

    P.S. The demo starts at the 52 minute mark in the video, if you want to watch it yourself…which I highly recommend!

    More on tech:

    Elon at the All-In Summit

    Two Million Miles Without a Fatality: Waymo’s CEO at the All-In Summit

    Climb, Crawl, Fly, Swim: Jake Loosararian at the All-In Summit

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order. 

  • Two men tried to kill President Trump within 64 days. How could the Secret Service let this happen?

    The decline of this once respected agency is the focus of Carol Leonnig’s 2021 book Zero Fail: The Rise and Fall of the Secret Service. I just finished it, and let me tell you, the problems are way worse than I ever imagined.

    A History of Failure

    “What the f— is wrong with you guys?” – Donald Trump

    President Trump uttered those words when two agents were caught taking selfies with his sleeping grandson. While this is invasive and totally unprofessional, it’s the least of the Service’s misdeeds.

    In recent years, we have repeatedly come close to presidents being assassinated. These stories have been little reported in the media.

    In 2014, a man jumped the White House fence and made it all the way to the foot of the stairs to the president’s private residence. He was armed with a knife.

    Everyone was expecting a dog to stop him. But the dog was inside a car taking a nap!

    You can’t make this stuff up.

    President Obama didn’t fire the director, Julia Pierson, after this incident. That failure in leadership could have cost him his life — thank God it didn’t.

    This wasn’t the first time in recent years that the Agency allowed an attack on the White House.

    In 2011, a gunman fired on the White House multiple times with an assault rifle. The Agency didn’t even realize there were bullets lodged in the building until days later.

    A Frathouse Culture

    You expect Secret Service agents to be stone faced g-men. But their behavior is more like frat brothers in Cancun.

    On a presidential trip to Cartagena, Colombia during the Obama administration, multiple agents were caught with prostitutes in their hotel rooms. One of the women even showed up in a government database as a possible cartel operative.

    Agents repeated these hijinks all over the world. If the Russian or Chinese security agencies haven’t put a beautiful female spy in front of these men, somebody’s not doing their job over there.

    This unprofessional culture is nothing new.

    Several agents were out drinking the night before John F. Kennedy was assassinated. Had they been sharper that day, they might have prevented it.

    Whenever the Service discovers these screw-ups, the punishment tends to be a slap on the wrist.

    Underfunded, Understaffed, and Without a Clear Mission

    When we think of the Secret Service, we think of guys in dark suits standing around the president. But most agents don’t do that.

    The Service has countless missions. It protects foreign leaders, handles financial fraud, helps police find missing kids, and researches traits of school shooters to help communities.

    Those are all worthy goals. But if there’s one thing I’ve learned in business, it’s this: when you have 5 priorities, you have none.

    The Service should focus on protecting the president, top administration officials, and their families. That’s it.

    Despite all those different jobs, the Service has been underfunded for generations. Security details are understaffed, equipment is outdated, and overworked agents quit regularly.

    Wrap-Up

    The Secret Service has no leadership and no clue. The fact that more presidents haven’t been assassinated is the best evidence I know of for God’s providence.

    The Service needs one mission and enough funding to accomplish it. And it needs strong leadership that doesn’t make excuses for failure.

    Let’s do it now, before we lose another president.

    What do you think of the Secret Service?

    More on politics:

    Elon in Butler, PA

    Kamala’s Extreme Agenda

    Vance at the All-In Summit

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order. 

  • Founders often tell you they’re going to send monthly updates, but how often do they really do it? Today, I did a review of my entire portfolio to answer that question. Here’s what I found…

    A Peak Inside My Portfolio

    • 31 names in the portfolio total
    • 28 of those investments are active (the others have exited)
    • 2 founders said upfront that they are not doing updates. I invested knowing that, so I am not expecting anything from them.
    • 2 investments were made in the last 3 months. Those rounds are still closing, so I don’t expect an update yet.

    That leaves 24 active investments that should be sending updates. So, did they do it?

    • 20 of 24 have sent an update in September or October
    • 2 sent updates in August
    • 1 sent an update in April
    • Only 1 company has not sent an update this entire year. I just contacted them to see what’s new.

    Amazing job, founders! 20/24, or 83% of companies are right on time with their updates. Most of those that are behind are pretty close.

    Given how much work it is to run a company, that’s incredibly impressive!

    Do Frequent Updates Correlate with Success?

    I’ve heard a ton of investors say that the more frequent the updates, the more successful the company. But from what I’ve seen, that is not true.

    The results are bimodal. If you aren’t hearing from a company, it’s either a likely 0 or a huge success.

    My most successful investment is a SaaS startup I backed at pre-seed that hit $17 million ARR in less than two years. I rarely hear from them.

    And guess what — I don’t care! I’m never going to bother these guys for an update.

    By contrast, the company I have yet to hear from this year is probably about to go out of business, if it hasn’t already.

    What Should You Do if You Don’t Get an Update?

    “You are 11 hours late on your update! How dare you?! I gave you money!” Yeah, not that.

    I never contact a company for an update unless I have not heard from them in 9 months or more. Running a company is hard. If a founder commits to monthly updates, I’m happy if I get 4 a year.

    After 9 months, I send a very polite message:

    “Hi Jim!

    Did I miss your monthly update? I’m not seeing one since December 2023.

    Hope all’s well with you!

    Best,

    F”

    Notice how I put the blame on myself. Maybe my spam filter zapped their message or it got lost in an avalanche of ads.

    If I still don’t hear for another few weeks, I’ll send another message.
    The key is to be nice. These folks are working hard for you, and they don’t always have time to get the update in.

    What Should Be in My Update?

    Some founders miss updates because they think an update has to be an elaborate presentation. Not so.

    Here’s what an investor update should look like:

    “Dear Uber Investors,

    We had another great month! Big increase in sign-ups is driving revenue.

    Sept Revenue: $42,000 (+ 35%)
    Burn: $30,000
    Cash in Bank: $1,200,000
    Runway: 40 months

    Highlights:

    • Signups doubled this month to 5,200
    • NYC launched!

    Lowlights:

    • Key engineer left, working on replacement

    Asks:

    • Intros to excellent engineers for our open position
    • Intros to growth hackers with marketplace experience

    Shoutouts:

    • Francis Santora for introducing us to Sequoia, Mike Michaels for intro to growth hacker

    See you next month!

    Travis”

    It really is that simple. Your update should be brief and mostly numbers.

    You will want these key figures for your own use anyway. You may as well share them with your investors too.

    And if they’re bad, don’t worry. Your investors may be able to help!

    Wrap-Up

    I’m surprised at how founders are so on top of their updates! I’m also really impressed.

    These are some of the busiest people in the world. And let’s be honest, sending the investor update isn’t their highest priority task.

    If you’re running a little (or a lot) late on your update, write up a little note today! Your investors will love to hear from you.

    And if you’re an investor, reply to the updates! Most investors don’t, and it’s an easy way to encourage a founder and show you care.

    What do you think…do updates correlate with success?

    More on tech:

    Small Investors Lead to Big Investors

    How I Make Sure I’m Never Late to Meet a Founder

    Talking Investment Red Flags on the Mr. Bray Labs Podcast

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

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    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

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  • “Can we rejuvenate an organism?”

    No one knows for sure, but Juan Carlos Belmonte is getting close.

    In a fascinating talk at the All-In Summit, Belmonte explains how he’s using cellular reprogramming to reverse aging in mice and, perhaps one day, us.

    Why We Age

    After age 40, the likelihood of death skyrockets.

    It barely matters what cause of death we look at. All the curves slope upward violently around that age — which is right around the age I am now.

    As we age, our cells become less able to repair themselves. Eventually, the damage becomes more than we can bear, and we die.

    But Belmonte, a researcher at the Salk Institute and Altos Labs, thinks he has the solution.

    How Yamanaka Factors Could Reverse Aging

    Belmonte gives short pulses of Yamanaka factors to cells. These pulses change the epigenome, or the way genes express themselves. They don’t change our actual DNA.

    These short pulses can rejuvenate cells.

    So far, Altos Labs has succeeded in reversing aging in countless mouse models: liver, kidneys, brain, muscle tissue, and skin. They’re also studying the use of metformin in monkeys to restore cognitive function in elderly animals and increase lifespan.

    Rejuvenating Humans

    Helping mice live longer is impressive. But when you get to monkeys, you’re incredibly close to being able to treat a human.

    Human beings are where Belmonte is headed next. His team is working on rejuvenating human cells in vitro, or in a petri dish.

    Next, he plans to work on rejuvenating organs that have been donated. Sometimes, those organs aren’t in good enough condition to be transplanted. But if Belmonte can reprogram them, surgeons may be able to use them.

    In vitro studies and rejuvenating organs for transplant will be incredible proofs of concept. And since they pose no danger to humans, they’re a clever way to test Altos’ technology.

    When Is the Pill Coming?

    But of course, we all have one question: how long until I can take a pill and be young again?

    Belmonte’s answer shocked me:

    “I feel the next decade probably many of these discoveries, with the caveat that it’s a mouse and a mouse is not a human, might be translated to humans.”

    Ten years. That’s nothing!

    In a decade, we could be taking pills to live longer and healthier. Even if he’s wrong and it takes 20 or 30, it will still be the greatest achievement ever made by human beings.

    And If You Don’t Want to Wait…

    In the mean time, there are ways we can rejuvenate our own cells. And they don’t take a scientific breakthrough.

    Exercise causes cellular changes very similar to short pulses of Yamanaka factors. You can bet I’ll be hopping on my exercise bike in a bit.

    Yamanaka here I come!

    Wrap-Up

    I think it’s wonderful that we have a society that will give billions of dollars to a guy like Belmonte and say “Give it a shot!” Even if he fails, one of the many other teams working on longevity will surely crack the code.

    We might live much longer than we ever imagined. 120 years, 180, who knows.

    I’m here for it!

    What did you think of Belmonte’s talk?

    More on tech:

    Elon at the All-In Summit

    Small Investors Lead to Big Investors

    Climb, Crawl, Fly, Swim: Jake Loosararian at the All-In Summit

    Save Money on Stuff I Use:

    Fundrise

    This platform lets me diversify my real estate investments so I’m not too exposed to any one market. I’ve invested since 2018 with great returns.

    More on Fundrise in this post.

    If you decide to invest in Fundrise, you can use this link to get $100 in free bonus shares!

    Misfits Market

    I’ve used Misfits for years, and it never disappoints! Every fruit and vegetable is organic, super fresh, and packed with flavor!

    I wrote a detailed review of Misfits here.

    Use this link to sign up and you’ll save $15 on your first order.