
SaaS stocks are the cheapest since the Financial Crisis, trading at 4x ARR. Markets think everyone will vibecode their own CRM. Here’s why they’re wrong…
Markets Move Toward the Most Efficient Outcome
In a free, competitive market like the United States, markets tend toward the most efficient outcome.
Imagine two possible worlds…
- Each company vibecodes its own SaaS product.
- A small, focused team builds one SaaS product for everyone.
Which is more efficient?
World #2, of course! The total number of man hours to produce the software is much lower.
What’s more, the World #2 team specializes in software development. This means they’ll produce a better product.
Why would a free market produce an outcome that costs more and wastes time?
Vibecoding Is For Dweebs (Like Me)
There’s another reason why everyone won’t vibecode their own software: they just don’t want to.
We tech dweebs love making weird little tools. The average person has no interest.
Even before AI, products like Bubble made it easy to pop up an app without code.
A handful of highly motivated people did it. But most didn’t.
The average person would rather scroll Instagram, watch TV, or have a beer.
No matter how easy you make software development, they’re not going to do it.
The Real Threat to SaaS Companies
The real threat to Big SaaS isn’t customers making their own product. It’s hungry startups.
A team of four lunatics in San Francisco using Claude Code can knock off your product in a weekend.
They’re hungry. They’re motivated. They’re everything corporate employees aren’t.
If they can produce a solution that’s better or cheaper, they’ll start to win over your customers. And they’ll dominate the market for new companies that don’t yet have a solution.
The only way out is to disrupt yourself. Start embedding great AI features in your product now, if you haven’t already.
Wrap-Up
The only people who think big companies are going to vibecode their own software are people who have never worked at one.
I spent many years working in huge organizations. Moving one button could take countless meetings.
These companies are not going to vibecode their own CRM anytime soon.
With SaaS stocks in the bargain bin, look for founder-led companies with strong product velocity. The founder has the authority to pivot the company on a dime.
If you see a founder-led company rapidly shipping great new AI products, it could make a fantastic bet.
More on tech:
Trading at 0.2 Times Sales — The Most Hated Companies in SaaS
SaaS Isn’t Dead — Time to Buy the Dip?
$1 Million By Demo Day — What Top YC Startups Look Like in 2026
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