I don’t know about you, but I’m a little groggy today! But from the death of polls to the end of Haley Republicans, I wanted to share with you a few ways I think this election will change America.
Haley Republicans Are Over
For almost a decade, there’s been a huge split in the Republican Party — neocons like Haley and Romney vs. the MAGA movement.
That split is over with.
Trump has won 2 out of the last 3 elections. He’s on track to sweep every single swing state.
He’s even ahead by nearly 5 million in the popular vote. No Republican has won the popular vote in 20 years.
Above all else, every political movement wants to win. Trump has proven himself a winner.
The Republican Party belongs to Trump now.
What’s more, there are several popular MAGA Republicans waiting in the wings to take over after Trump’s term. J.D. Vance and Tulsi Gabbard will be strong contenders — I’d love to see them run together!
Polymarket Crushes the Polls
Almost every poll predicted an extremely close election. They were all wrong.
Trump is on track to win nearly every swing state by 2-5%, a tidy margin. The closest is Wisconsin, but Trump still won by around 30,000 votes.
Trump is even ahead by about 5 million in the popular vote. Almost every poll had the two candidates tied in the popular vote or Trump behind.
Polls being this inaccurate shouldn’t surprise us. Who answers these things?
I’ve never once been called. Neither has anyone I know, even people in swing states.
And even if they did ring me up, I never answer a number I don’t know! You probably don’t either.
Throughout this contest, the most accurate predictor was Polymarket. Polymarket showed Trump doing far better than the polls did.
I discounted Polymarket since the market is thinly traded. But it proved accurate.
Polymarket has gotten enormous exposure in this election. The next presidential race will see way larger trading volume, making the numbers even more reliable.
In 2028, people will be going to Polymarket first.
The Podcast Election
Trump did Rogan. Harris didn’t. That mistake may have cost her the presidency.
When you listen to Trump for 3 hours, it’s hard to see him as the monster the media makes him out to be. He seems normal, human.
He also shows the humility to take the time and talk to the people. Harris behaved like a ruler, granting audiences only to a chosen few and keeping them brief.
Trump blitzed every podcast known to man. It was surreal seeing him and Vance pop up on some of my favorites, like All-In and the Tim Dillon Show.
He let people get to know him through these shows. That unfiltered exposure may have put him over the top.
The X Factor
In 2016 and 2020, all social media was censored. Today, one platform is free: X.
Elon buying Twitter seemed like a laugh line when it happened in 2022. But it may be far more significant than we thought.
There is one place where you can challenge lies. There is one place where information is free.
Trump was able to get his message out without the media twisting his words. And when they tried to take statements out of context, like his comments about Liz Cheney, his supporters were free to rebut them.
Now that the people had free access to information, they chose Trump.
Abortion and Transsexualism Are Losing Issues
The median voter does not have an abortion. The median voter does buy groceries.
No wonder Harris lost!
People may care about abortion, but it’s not a decisive issue for most voters. And the most passionate pro-choice voters are solid Democrats anyhow.
Transsexualism is an even weaker issue.
Transsexuals represent a tiny percentage of the public. And although some non-transsexuals may support their agenda, it’s never going to rank above crime and the cost of living.
Democrats need to refocus on issues that normal people care about: safety and the cost of living.
VC’s — A Leading Indicator?
Finally, I think VC’s breaking for Trump proved to be surprisingly significant.
Say what you want about VC’s, but they know how to spot a trend. They’ve made billions doing it.
They could see the vibes shifting and the public getting sick and tired of the Democrats. They hopped on that trend and rode it to victory.
There aren’t many VC’s, but they’re becoming more influential by the day.
They pump millions into campaigns. Their podcasts, like All-In, are breaking through to the mainstream.
VC’s are natural Democrats. They’re a bunch of highly educated rich guys in California, for Heaven’s sake!
The left needlessly alienated them. Bashing success, pushing DEI, and blocking M&A just proved more than VC’s could take.
Wrap-Up
I couldn’t be more excited about Trump’s victory! A clean sweep of the swing states was beyond my wildest dreams.
I think America’s best days are before us. We have a president committed to restraining government, ensuring safety and security, and working for peace in the world.
It’s time to accelerate.🚀
What are your thoughts on the election?
More on politics:
Why I’m Voting for Donald Trump
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